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The Return of Nuclear Competition: Dr. Kroenig on Russia, China, and the United States

Nika Lomidzeby Nika Lomidze
March 10, 2026
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Matthew Kroenig says a new arms race started “years ago.” But the United States, by not seeking the renewal of its New START Treaty with Russia, only recently signaled its intention to join.

“Russia and China were racing, and we were sitting on the sidelines,” says Dr. Kroenig, Atlantic Council Vice President for Geostrategy and the Senior Director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and a longtime advocate for a stronger U.S. nuclear deterrence posture. “Now we’re back in the race. And I think that’s a good thing.”

In an interview with Independence Avenue Media, Dr. Kroenig argues that the most dangerous place the United States and its allies can find themselves is not in a new arms race, but in a world in which the U.S. nuclear umbrella does not hold dominance over the nuclear capabilities of Russia and China.

And with China as the world’s nuclear upstart, the era of bilateral treaties between the U.S. and Russia, he says, is over.

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Tags: Chinanuclear armsNuclear competitionRussiaUnited States
Nika Lomidze

Nika Lomidze

Nika Lomidze is chief operating officer at Independence Avenue Media, overseeing operations, finance, and strategic development. He previously managed U.S.-funded governance and political party assistance programs across Eurasia, the Asia-Pacific, and South Asia and played defense for the Georgian national hockey team.

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