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Cavoli: Russia Unlikely to Win This War — but Will Regroup for the Next One

Ia Meurmishviliby Ia Meurmishvili
June 18, 2026
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What is the current state of Russia’s war against Ukraine? How will it end? And how should NATO prepare for the post-war Russian threat?”

In an exclusive interview with Independence Avenue Media, former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe retired Gen. Christopher Cavoli, shares his assessment of the battlefield, Ukraine’s growing military capabilities, Russia’s long-term threat to NATO, and the future of European security.

Gen. Cavoli discusses:

▪️ Ukraine’s battlefield advantages and defense industry growth

▪️ Russia’s mounting losses and declining ability to sustain the war

▪️ How Ukrainian deep strikes are changing the dynamics of the conflict

▪️ Why diplomacy — not unconditional surrender — will likely end the war

▪️ The unprecedented scale of destruction and casualties

▪️ Ukraine’s innovation in drone warfare and military technology

▪️ Russia’s future military threat to NATO

▪️ Why Europe must rapidly rearm and expand its defense industrial base

Christopher Cavoli served as NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) from 2022 to 2025 and previously commanded U.S. European Command.

Tags: Christopher CavoliindavemediaRussiaUkraineWar in Ukraine
Ia Meurmishvili

Ia Meurmishvili

Ia Meurmishvili is co-founder, president, CEO, and editor in chief of Independence Avenue Media. Known in her native Georgia as a television anchor, she previously managed Voice of America’s Georgian Service, leading coverage of U.S. foreign policy, NATO, and regional security. She is a frequent guest commentator, conference speaker, and lecturer.  

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