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A Warning to the Kremlin: Don’t Test Article 5 | Russia Analyst Glen Howard

Kiryl Sukhotskiby Kiryl Sukhotski
September 1, 2026
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What sent John Ratcliffe to Moscow on Aug. 25? Veteran Russia analyst Glen Howard, the president of the Saratoga Foundation and the longtime head of the Jamestown Foundation, tells Independence Avenue Media the answer is in the recently reported intelligence: “The Russians are preparing something.”

A sabotage campaign across Europe. Russian probing along NATO’s periphery. Reports of a mobilization drive of up to half a million men. And, according to Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, as many as 50,000 North Korean troops that could backfill Russian lines and free forces to move somewhere new. Howard says at the very least Washington saw a pattern it didn’t like and sent its spy chief to deliver a message.

Howard also sees a shift inside the Trump administration. Ratcliffe, a known Russia hawk who has largely kept to the shadows, is stepping into a leading role.

Kiryl Sukhotski

Kiryl Sukhotski

Kiryl Sukhotski is the executive editor for Russia at Independence Avenue Media, where he oversees coverage of U.S. foreign policy for Russian-speaking audiences. He previously worked at Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Born in Minsk, Belarus, he started his career at the BBC, covering Russia from Moscow and London. View full bio

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